A | 中国男篮将在北京时间8月28日(0点,客场)和31日(19点30分,主场)迎来世预赛第四窗口期,也是世预赛第二阶段的首次比赛,对手分别是卡塔尔队和黎巴嫩队。

Staff members secure aircraft at Hangzhou Xiaoshan International Airport to prepare for Typhoon Dolphin on August 9, 2026. Photo: VCG
Typhoon Dolphin made landfall in Taizhou, East China's Zhejiang Province, on Sunday afternoon, bringing strong winds up to 42 meters per second and heavy torrential rain to the coastal regions amid a red alert - the highest level in the country's typhoon warning system - issued for it earlier that day.
Authorities in East China's Fujian have relocated nearly 100,000 residents, while coastal provinces are suspending railway services and canceled flights, making an all-out effort to mitigate possible risks.
The NMC maintained orange rainstorm and blue severe convective weather alerts at 6 am on Sunday, forecasting exceptionally heavy rainfall of 250 to 440 millimeters in some areas along the eastern coast of Zhejiang, with heavy to torrential rains expected across Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, and Anhui between Sunday morning and Monday morning, China Central Television (CCTV) reported.
In response to the typhoon, China's meteorological authority on Sunday upgraded its emergency response for severe meteorological disasters from Level III to Level II.
Fujian raised the emergency response level for typhoon prevention to Level II at 9 am on Sunday.
As Typhoon Dolphin gathers strength and approaches the coastal areas, Fujian's flood control authority, as of 6 pm on Saturday, deployed a total of 17,800 officials to and relocated 98,900 people from high-risk areas, Xinhua News Agency reported on Saturday.
Fujian has suspended all 115 marine engineering projects and moved 290 construction vessels to safe waters, while 55 passenger ferry routes in affected waters have been halted, chinanews.com reported.
Meanwhile, railway services in the affected regions including Fujian, Zhejiang, Shanghai have also been suspended from Sunday to Monday, according to chinanews.com.
Fujian authorities have urged stronger safety measures for returning vessels, offshore platforms and coastal and island tourism, as well as reinforcement of aquaculture facilities. They also called for timely evacuations from flood- and landslide-prone areas to guard against secondary disasters from the typhoon and heavy rain, chinanews.com reported.
In Zhejiang, Wenzhou city has closed all 85 A-level national tourist attractions, turned away more than 7,400 visitors and evacuated over 1,600, with the relocation effort ongoing, according to CCTV. Next, Wenzhou will next implement a "five suspensions" policy, halting outdoor group activities, classes, work, business operations and transportation.
All fishing vessels at Shitang Fishing Port in Wenling, Zhejiang, have returned to port, with all personnel evacuated ashore and maritime rescue teams on standby. Authorities urged vessels to stay off the sea during the typhoon.
In Shanghai, Pudong and Hongqiao airports operated at reduced capacity on Sunday, with nearly 60 percent of flights canceled. A total of 1,384 flights are scheduled to be canceled including 871 at Pudong and 513 at Hongqiao. Passengers are advised to check with their airlines for the latest updates and adjust travel plans accordingly, according to CCTV.
According to Hu Xiao, meteorological analyst at the NMC, the typhoon has several notable features, including its strong intensity and expansive circulation. The typhoon also has several unusual features. Forming unusually far east, near 180°E, it has traveled more than 7,200 kilometers, making its potential landfall in China a rare event and possibly the easternmost such landfall since 1951. Its 12-day lifespan is also well above the typical seven-to-10-day average, CCTV reported.
According to Ma Jun, director of the Institute of Public and Environmental Affairs, Typhoon Dolphin traveled a long distance and remained at typhoon or severe typhoon strength of its lifespan so far. Despite passing through some areas that were unfavorable to its development, its powerful inner core remained intact, while its extensive cloud system continued to absorb moisture and energy, fueling the potential for torrential rainfall.
The typhoon has remained at sea for more than 260 hours and experienced a rare "three rises and three falls" in intensity. Its unusually long lifespan has allowed it to absorb more moisture and energy, while repeated intensity fluctuations have complicated forecasts of its future track and intensity of wind and rainfall, according to CCTV.
After landfall, Typhoon Dolphin may move slowly, prolonging heavy rainfall and raising the risk of extreme precipitation and related disasters. Its track later in the week remains uncertain as it could interact with the southwest monsoon and cold air from the northwest, potentially broadening and intensifying its impacts, Ma told the Global Times on Sunday.
。对于小组排名靠后的中国男篮而言,能否拿下这两场比赛也直接关乎着争夺2027年男篮世界杯参赛资格的前景。
看点一:中国男篮能否两战全胜?
由于中国男篮在小组赛也就是世预赛第一阶段的战绩不佳,而第一阶段的战绩将直接带入到世预赛第二阶段,因此,这使得只有3胜3负的中国男篮目前排名F组第5(共6队),排名第6也就是小组倒数第一的沙特同样是3胜3负。排名第4的韩国队虽然也是3胜3负,但他们世预赛第一阶段主客场双杀中国男篮。因此,中国男篮的处境并不理想。
根据世预赛晋级规则,第二阶段分组后,每个小组积分排名前三的球队和两个小组里成绩最好的第四名球队晋级世界杯,一共有7个晋级名额。
C | 作为2027年男篮世界杯的东道主,卡塔尔男篮自动获得世界杯参赛名额,但他们也需要参加世预赛,只是不占用这7个晋级名额。
对中国男篮而言,若想晋级2027年男篮世界杯,就必须争取成为F组的前三。只有这样,中国男篮才能直接晋级。否则,中国男篮即便成为了F组的第四,也需要好于E组第四的成绩,才能获得最后的参赛名额。而从F组第5升至第3难度很大。因此,中国男篮若能在本次窗口期两战全胜,排名、战绩和信心都将大幅提升。但如果只拿到1胜1负或者两战皆负,那中国男篮的处境会依然艰难甚至更加糟糕。
中国男篮本次世预赛的两个对手,阵容上都存在不同程度的短缺。卡塔尔男篮近期的集训阵容缺少了如哈季贝戈维奇(世预赛场均16.6分,全队第二)、贝德里(场均5.7分)、哈里斯(场均8分)等主力,NCAA的穆萨没有回国。卡塔尔男篮此番使用的归化球员是淡出卡塔尔男篮多年的前归化后卫迈克-刘易斯,重金归化的前NBA球员纳恩因伤缺阵。
黎巴嫩男篮的核心后卫阿拉基(世预赛场均19.3分5助攻,两项数据都是全队第一)因伤缺阵,归化球员、新疆男篮外援劳森(场均14.3分12篮板,篮板全队第一,得分全队第二)也不会出战。此外,黎巴嫩新星、22岁的卡亚特(场均8.7分7.3篮板,篮板全队第二),上个窗口期表现不错的萨乌德(场均9.7分,上个窗口期单场拿到25分)都将缺席比赛。
D | 他们的新归化球员芬德伯克和球队的默契程度还有待观察。
就阵容的完整度来看,中国男篮本次世预赛要占据优势。中国男篮能否两战全胜和提升排名也将在此一举。
看点二:杨瀚森反弹?
杨瀚森上个窗口期在国家队的表现并不理想。两场比赛,他场均登场15.3分钟,但场均只能得到9.5分5.5篮板,攻防两端都没能体现出足够的价值。
主场惨败日本队时,他5投3中、6罚3中得到9分7篮板2助攻,出现4次犯规和2次失误。防守端,他脚步慢、防不出去的老问题依然明显,这也导致他被对手后卫多次点名攻击。轮到自己进攻,杨瀚森是越打越着急,甚至出现了篮下转身投篮三不沾的情况。比赛中,他还不止一次出现进攻犯规。整场比赛,杨瀚森的亮点有限。
E |
拿下中国台北队时,杨瀚森8投4中、4罚2中得到10分4篮板1助攻。虽然数据相比输日本队时变化不大,但全场0犯规、1次失误,明显提升了杨瀚森的效率。比赛中,杨瀚森打得要更加自如,心态也没有那么大的波动。
这次世预赛,和国家队合练时间有限的杨瀚森,和队友不够默契、防守移动偏慢、中远投能力不稳定的老问题依然在,关键就看他能否调整好心态?能否用进攻上的优势来弥补防守端的缺陷。
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